Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.071305 3.605617 4.175511 4.825496 5.543181 6.308400 7.182937
2024-10-27 2.197950 2.906271 3.721693 4.716441 5.883793 7.197408 8.774238
2024-11-03 1.705041 2.519715 3.524506 4.822674 6.423249 8.301313 10.639870
2024-11-10 1.336773 2.202485 3.342188 4.892601 6.887248 9.310440 12.418241
2024-11-17 1.003942 1.858520 3.062155 4.784909 7.092390 9.986412 13.797369
2024-11-24 0.748205 1.565602 2.798432 4.651672 7.228610 10.554867 15.038144
2024-12-01 0.577718 1.363610 2.628338 4.615699 7.470937 11.247656 16.437786
2024-12-08 0.440049 1.181382 2.456696 4.549956 7.652387 11.850474 17.722816
2024-12-15 0.380514 1.128078 2.479520 4.767962 8.233956 12.997418 19.740594
2024-12-22 0.303803 1.019097 2.391740 4.801723 8.542539 13.773497 21.276408
2024-12-29 0.271057 0.996491 2.449474 5.065362 9.194069 15.034714 23.485315
2025-01-05 0.234753 0.955264 2.466362 5.259236 9.743443 16.162034 25.530503
2025-01-12 0.190429 0.882192 2.417622 5.345750 10.142283 17.101788 27.362017
2025-01-19 0.140250 0.772349 2.280171 5.267892 10.280582 17.670787 28.693690
2025-01-26 0.115062 0.726364 2.265784 5.401944 10.753706 18.732348 30.729300
2025-02-02 0.091357 0.673333 2.227465 5.487040 11.147335 19.682235 32.620394
2025-02-09 0.062919 0.582947 2.089586 5.374784 11.211193 20.141299 33.819909
2025-02-16 0.040746 0.497072 1.944231 5.232315 11.213008 20.500867 34.876826
2025-02-23 0.027559 0.439872 1.857583 5.194263 11.383913 21.114623 36.304888
2025-03-02 0.017293 0.383310 1.759867 5.123325 11.491519 21.629332 37.592760
2025-03-09 0.014658 0.380116 1.810029 5.360317 12.140351 22.990412 40.136799
2025-03-16 0.009769 0.347031 1.767195 5.397074 12.436442 23.806401 41.888380
2025-03-23 0.008655 0.351693 1.838876 5.683059 13.182038 25.337135 44.714100